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INDIA SPEECH: Gold Market Situation & Outlook

Speech to the Sixth Annual India International Gold Convention Goa, India Jeffrey Nichols, Managing Director, American Precious Metals Advisors Thank you, Mr. Chairman for your kind introduction . . . and many thanks also to the conference organizers for inviting me to participate in this prestigious gathering. It is a great honor to be here today, not only to share my views – but to learn from you, and make many new friends in the Indian Gold Community. A few weeks ago, in preparation for today’s presentation, I asked the conference organizer what I should talk about.He said, I should ...

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Official Sector Gold Policies – At a Turning Point

I believe we are now at a key turning point in the modern history of gold as an official reserve asset – a turning point that is very propitious for the metal’s price in years to come. Central banks attitudes with respect to gold are becoming increasingly positive.After years of persistent net sales by central banks in the aggregate, the official sector may soon become a net purchaser of gold from the market. In fact, if we include sovereign wealth funds – which are non-central bank government-owned investment institutions – the official sector may already be a net buyer of gold. On ...

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GOLD — A NEW MONETARY ROLE?

China and Russia are agitating for a demotion of the dollar in the world monetary system with a new “super-sovereign” basket of currencies, possibly even including gold as the Russian’s have suggested, gaining stature as the new lynchpin. Though such talk may hearten the advocates of gold, the possibility of any sudden change in the world monetary system seems remote, if only because no alternative can provide the, necessarily very large and very liquid capital markets necessary to accommodate reinvestment of reserve assets now held in U.S. dollars. And, for all their talk, the Chinese, ...

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Bipolar Gold

With the price of gold lurching first one way then the other, it looks like the market has been suffering from bipolar disorder.  I expect this split-personality behavior, characterized by extreme price volatility, to continue for some time to come with big swings up and down -- but, importantly, around a rising trend with support levels moving up step-wise over time. In short, gold is heading much higher, but not without more struggle and occasional disappointment for those looking for a speedy ascent.  Further out -- over the next year or two -- I have no doubt that gold will move to new ...

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Jeff Nichols Talks About Gold

Gold’s recent strength has been fueled principally by a surge in investment buying.  Meanwhile, positive market fundamentals – having to do with trends in mine production, secondary supply, and fabrication demand – have played a supporting role in gold’s recent strong performance. As important as it is to take a periodic statistical snapshot of gold supply and demand, price developments in the short-to-medium term have less to do with these fundamentals and more to do with market sentiment, monetary policy and inflation trends, geopolitical events, and the resultant changes in investment ...