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Official Sector Gold Policies – At a Turning Point

I believe we are now at a key turning point in the modern history of gold as an official reserve asset – a turning point that is very propitious for the metal’s price in years to come. Central banks attitudes with respect to gold are becoming increasingly positive.After years of persistent net sales by central banks in the aggregate, the official sector may soon become a net purchaser of gold from the market. ...

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KEY GOLD-PRICE DRIVERS

As clients know, we remain “extremely optimistic” on the gold-price outlook -- but, unlike many other bullish analysts, we believe the metal’s ascent will take several years to reach its next long-term cyclical peak. In the meantime, expect high volatility and a difficult climb, fraught with sharp reversals along the way that will, at times, cause some observers to wonder if the market has already topped out. Ultimately, gold will most likely climb into the US$2000 to $3000 range – but it could go even higher given the right confluence of economic and political developments . . . or if a ...

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IPMI Speech

Gold Situation and Outlook Presentation to the International Precious Metals Institute I've been asked to talk about one of my favorite subjects: Gold . . . or, more precisely, the global market for the metal and the factors likely to influence its future price.  In fact, gold is a subject on which I could talk for hours . . . but I've been asked to keep my presentation somewhat shorter - so I'll try to give you some highlights and conclusions. My comments today will be posted on my website - NicholsOnGold.com - so, if you're interested you can easily check back to review my analysis and ...

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GOLD — A NEW MONETARY ROLE?

China and Russia are agitating for a demotion of the dollar in the world monetary system with a new “super-sovereign” basket of currencies, possibly even including gold as the Russian’s have suggested, gaining stature as the new lynchpin. Though such talk may hearten the advocates of gold, the possibility of any sudden change in the world monetary system seems remote, if only because no alternative can provide the, necessarily very large and very liquid capital markets necessary to accommodate reinvestment of reserve assets now held in U.S. dollars. And, for all their talk, the Chinese, ...

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FED EASING AND GOLD PROSPECTS

This week's news from the U.S. Federal Reserve promising massive quantitative easing in the months ahead greatly increases our confidence in the long-term bullish outlook for gold and silver.  Since the first recorded use of currency by King Croesus some 2,500 years ago, there has NEVER been a rapid increase in the supply of money that has not, within a few years, been followed by an acceleration of inflation.  Why should the current experience be any different!! Our forecast that gold will reach a cyclical high over $2500 and silver will exceed $50 an ounce in the next few years looks ...

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The World Economic Crisis and the Outlook for Gold

The World Economic Crisis and the Outlook for Gold Speech to the 3rd Annual China Gold & Precious Metals Summit Shanghai, China Thank you Mr. Chairman for that flattering introduction and thank you to the conference organizers who have made it possible for us to exchange information and insights into the future of gold here in China and in the global marketplace. You should know that my presentation today will be posted on my website, NicholsOnGold.com, so you can easily check back in a few days, or a month, or a year – to review my analysis and my expectations for gold. A few ...

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The Deflation/Inflation Conumdrum

Gold was bound to rise once the selling abated . . . and each day it remains in $800+ territory, the technical picture and the yellow metal's good fortunes improve. ...

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