Subscribe FOR ALL ACCESS TO Nichols On gold
Follow Us on Twitter @NicholsOnGold.com

Gold: Now is the Time

If investors ever needed physical gold in their portfolios, now is the time. Now is the time to protect even a well-diversified portfolio against the risks inherent in financial assets (equities, debt) and tangible assets (real estate, fine art, etc.) alike. Here’s some reasons why: If you hadn’t noticed, geo-political uncertainties are at a high pitch, what with failed states (Iraq, Libya, Syria) and terrorist victories in the Middle East, East-West Russian roulette in Central Europe, and rising tensions between the United States and China as the PRC seeks to extend its territorial ...

Gold: Stuck in the Mud . . . But For How Long?

A reassessment of economic prospects and Fed policy in the weeks and months ahead could be just the turn of events that will support a springtime recovery in the price of gold, lifting the yellow metal up and out of its recent trading range.   Gold prices have been stuck in the mud, trading in recent weeks mostly between $1,175 and $1,225 an ounce. Unless some “outside-the-market” surprise comes along to push gold one way or the other, the yellow metal could remain range bound for weeks to come. Meanwhile, short-term fluctuations within this $50 an ounce trading range will continue to be ...

Please Login or Subscribe to view this Commentary.

The Dollar Reigns Supreme . . . But For How Long?

Having failed in its attempt earlier this month to move above $1,300 an ounce, gold is once again looking for sustainable support under the technically and psychologically important $1,200 level. How quickly things can change in world financial markets: Just a few weeks ago it looked like gold might break-out on the upside on the back of bullish geopolitical and global economic developments – and establish a new floor price around $1,300 an ounce. But, having failed in its attempt to move up, we now wonder (along with what must be a majority of gold-market analysts and participants) if gold ...

GOLD: Sound & Fury . . . But What’s It All Mean?

Gold-price volatility so far this year has been a reflection of short-term speculative activity by a relatively small group of hedge funds and other institutional traders taking relatively large positions in “paper” markets.   In paper markets, no physical gold actually changes hands.  Instead, trading of futures and forward contracts, as well as other IOUs between large dealers and traders, governs much of the short-term day-to-day (and even more so much of the intraday) price fluctuations. Meanwhile, “physical" demand continues to grow over time — with buying from the gold-friendly ...

Please Login or Subscribe to view this Commentary.

Is NOW a Good Time to Own Gold?

As a business economist and gold-market analyst, I am frequently asked about the economic outlook and investment-market prospects.  Most of all, clients and friends ask “Is now a good time to OWN gold?” My answer is always the same: NOW is always a good time to own gold. Importantly, we own the metal because, over time, its inclusion in a typical savings and investment portfolio provides a variety of benefits: ...

Please Login or Subscribe to view this Commentary.

GOLD: Balancing on a Knife Edge

It’s time to fess up:  Over the past week or two, I’ve been reluctant to say much about gold’s short-term price prospects.  Now, it seems to me that prices are set up for a big move . . . but in what direction?  That is the question. Gold markets can no longer count on rising geopolitical risk to gin up prices.  Lately, gold has largely ignored the myriad of risks that occupy the daily headlines.  Significant events attract some brief attention and a short-lived bump in safe-haven demand for a day or a week with briefly spurting higher before giving up any gains. If geopolitical events ...

Please Login or Subscribe to view this Commentary.

India: Propitious Times for Gold Ahead

We are soon entering a propitious period for gold in the annual calendar.  Historically, prices have moved higher as gold traders and buyers returned from their summer holidays. In reality it has been the approaching Indian holiday, wedding, and agricultural harvest seasons that have boosted gold demand and supported higher prices in world markets as summer draws to a close.With discouraging import duties and other anti-gold trade barriers still in place, it remains to be seen this year whether or not India will provide its usual seasonal boost to gold demand and prices in the world market ...

Please Login or Subscribe to view this Commentary.

GOLD Explained: A Brief Note on Recent Market Action

Gold's failure to sustain its recent price gains, gains achieved over the past few weeks, triggered a wave of computer-generated technical selling on Monday morning that, in minutes, knocked gold prices back down to psychologically important technical support levels just above $1300 an ounce. I do not subscribe to any of the various conspiracy theories to explain gold's latest tumble, even though the recent news and gold-market fundamentals suggest the yellow metal should be moving higher. (For more on this bullish view, see "Gold: Now is the Time," NicholsOnGold, July 2, 2014.) The ...

Back from Vacation: The More Things Change . . .

I’m just back from a two-week vacation from the gold market.  In the interim much has changed – especially the metal’s price, which has fallen some $65 to $75 an ounce.  That’s more than five percent – but no reason to despair! While the price has weakened, the metal’s fundamentals, fundamentals we have discussed in past reports, have continued to improve, so much so that some bounce-back now seems likely – with bigger gains due later this year. ...

Please Login or Subscribe to view this Commentary.

Gold: On the Verge . . . or Nearing a Cliff

Gold has had difficulty sustaining recent rallies and remains trapped in a $50 trading range.  At the lower end, incremental physical demand has so far kept the price above its recent floor around $1175 an ounce . . . but selling by funds and other institutional traders of gold ETFs and “paper” proxies has limited attempts to rally. Whatever improvement in sentiment and upward momentum that may have resulted from this year’s encouraging first-quarter start has now dissipated.  The longer gold lingers in its current range the more difficult it will be for the yellow metal to break out on the ...

Please Login or Subscribe to view this Commentary.